The Complete “WindKiller and the Drunken Pirate” Arc

Note: this post is from Jun ’07. We’re reposting because J references it in Reading Virtual Minds Volume II: Experience and Expectation.

WindKiller and the Drunken Pirate

WindKiller, one of my regular correspondents and readers, sent me a response to Drunken Pirates, Anyone? or "Interlife Realities 101". I called him up and talked with him about it, asking if I could use his response as a blog post. He agreed, so here we go…

As I did with my Conversations with the Past arc, WindKiller's comments will be in regular type, my responses will be in italics.

Howdy,
Read the posting of the drunken pirate teacher and I wholly disagree with you (and I know you were aching to learn my position on the matter).

I am, truth be told. I'm always fascinated by my readers' responses to my writings.

And I think you have more to say on the matter. You had 15 posts that dealt with what a person is saying about themselves when they sign their name and address, based on font size and shape. What does a person say about themselves when they post their own picture to the world with the appropriate caption "Drunken Pirate"?

Yes, and I used my own signature as the example there. The question "What does a person say about themselves when they post their own picture to the world with the appropriate caption 'Drunken Pirate'?" is too large a question to answer in this format, I think (unless people want to read a what might become a very long arc). Answering that question with any measure of validity requires sociology, social psychology, cultural anthropology, … It's an answerable question that could easily turn into a thesis or term-long class if it is to be answered with any hope of accuracy.

It at least suggests that this is how the person wants to be viewed (her interpretation of the picture may be someone who is fun and sociable and others may be someone who is of low moral character).

You touch on a core element in this discussion; how Ms. Snyder wants to be viewed versus how she and others are interpreting what they're viewing. My Drunken Pirates, Anyone? or "Interlife Realities 101" posting dealt more with how people are interpreting what they're viewing and how that interpretation will (probably) change over time.

Further, I believe myspace allows you to make your photos viewable by 'friends' only or by the public, and she chose the latter.

I don't know if MySpace allows this type of separation. If it does and if Ms. Snyder knew this and if she chose the latter, my question becomes "What did she hope to gain?"

(more to follow…)

WindKiller and the Drunken Pirate, Part 2

WindKiller, one of my regular correspondents and readers, sent me a response to Drunken Pirates, Anyone? or “Interlife Realities 101”. He’s agreed to let me respond in my blog, and this is part 2 of that resposne.

WindKiller called me to task for not responding to Ms. Snyder’s act in part 1, I think.

As I did with my Conversations with the Past arc, WindKiller’s comments will be in regular type, my responses will be in italics. Here we continue with WindKiller’s thoughts:

If I stood up in a restaurant tomorrow and proclaimed to those present that I contracted herpes from a 17-year old prostitute I hired last week, you better believe I’d be judged by everyone in earshot (despite the lack of veracity to the statement). There would be angrily looks, hostile comments, and I suspect most would make every effort to avoid me in the future when the opportunity presented itself. If I don’t want to face that judgment, all I have to do is not publish to that audience a statement that could result in harsh judgment.

My previous statement holds, “What do you hope to gain?” Peoples motivations are usually complex, rarely simple even when subtle. The response you’d get depends heavily on the restaurant you’re in, the patrons of that restaurant, how you made your proclimation. I don’t necessarily agree that the response you state is necessarily the response you’d get.

One of my teachers use to tell his class, “The meaning of the message is the response it elicits” and I was never comfortable with that because communication is almost never pure. Much later I studied deeper and learned “The meaning of the message is” because there are six degrees of separation (I know that seems like a pun or joke and it isn’t) between what someone conceptualizes as what they’re communicating and what another person conceptualizes as what was communicated.

I also admit a prejudice that shows up in NextStage’s Principles. People will form opinions regardless of information presented which supports or negates that opinion. It’s uncontrollable, so don’t concern yourself with other people’s opinions. Certain people, yes, of course. But all people? Those who don’t know you and form an opinion about you based on one item reported to them (hence a bias is added) and not directly observed by them?

It’s not worth your time.

That offered, I also should point out that one of NextStage’s principles, #6, is Take responsibility for your actions.. Of course, it’s closely followed by #7, Mistakes are just that; You can reach again.

(more to follow…)

WindKiller and the Drunken Pirate, Part 3

This is part 3 in a conversation arc. I’m responding to WindKiller, one of my regular correspondents and readers, who wrote me about my Drunken Pirates, Anyone? or “Interlife Realities 101” post. He’s agreed to let me respond in my blog, hence this arc.

WindKiller called me to task for not responding to the Ms. Snyder’s act in part 1, I think. Part 2 dealt with concern over people’s impressions of what you do, think or say.

As I did with my Conversations with the Past arc, WindKiller’s comments will be in regular type, my responses will be in italics. Here we continue with WindKiller’s thoughts:

And I love the freedom of speech angle. No one is restricting her right to publish her pictures, captions, statements, etc. But they will judge her based on her comments and that ability to judge has never been in conflict with the freedom of speech.

Two points:

  1. I disagree with "No one is restricting her right…" Someone has decided to punish her for her actions, therefore they are restricting her rights. The authority figure is saying "I won't tell you not to do some thing and if you do that thing I will penalize you." This is similar to the parent telling the child "It's your decision" then punishing the child for making a decision the parent doesn't like. This is called "crazy-making behavior" among therapists.
    Along these lines, I did read the school district's statement (thanks for the link). The word "advised" is used as in "…after being repeatedly advised…", "expressed" as in "…expressed to Ms. Snyder…" and things like that concern me. What I'd like to see is something like "We told her not to …" or "Ms. Snyder was told not to…". The bullet points in the statement indicate that Ms. Snyder wasn't as responsible a person as the environment she found herself in would dictate, so something stronger than advising and expressing would seem necessary.
    And yes, that was a careful choice of words, "…the environment she found herself in…". It's right up there with another one of NextStage's Principles: If you can't clearly say "No" then nobody will know when you're saying "Yes". Ms. Snyder (this is how I'm reading the material presented) wasn't capable of understanding the more sophisticated communicatives "advised" and "expressed" so make it real simple and plain old "tell" her.
  2. "…they will judge her…" I guess I spent too many years studying the Old Testament not to get concerned when someone "judges" someone else. I know it happens and wish it would happen less and less. "Judging" (in the sense that I think you write it) comes down to a question or "rightness" and "wrongness", which are questions of morality. I'm not qualified to determine someone else's morality, only whether or not I wish to be around their morality. I've often stated "Morals are how you want me to behave, ethics are how I want me to behave."

That offered, I don't think my original post defended or exonerated Ms. Snyder. My goal was to recognize that what happened makes news now and won't later. She'll go down in the history book as an internet pilgrim more than anything else, I think, and one of the requirements of being a pilgrim is ignoring if not violating accepted norms and rules. In the parlance of business, this is known as redefining best practices.

(more to follow…)

WindKiller and the Drunken Pirate, Finale

This post ends a conversation with WindKiller, one of my regular correspondents and readers, who wrote me about my Drunken Pirates, Anyone? or “Interlife Realities 101” post. He’s agreed to let me respond in my blog, hence this arc.

WindKiller called me to task for not responding to the Ms. Snyder’s act in part 1, I think. Part 2 dealt with concern over people’s impressions of what you do, think or say, and Part 3 concerned itself with some issues about communicating with people who aren’t capable of understanding the communication.

As I did with my Conversations with the Past arc, WindKiller’s comments will be in regular type, my responses will be in italics.

WindKiller continues:
I support the Ms. Snyder’s right to publish her photo and caption on myspace and I support her school’s right to judge her moral/ethical/professional aptitude for teacher certification based on her admissions/publications.

“Professional” I might go along with. “Moral/ethical”, as noted in yesterday’s post.

In particular, considering Ms. Snyder was teaching at a local high school as part of her degree requirement and encouraged her students to go to her myspace site. School authorities became aware of this, investigated the myspace site, and asked Ms. Snyder to stop advertising her myspace site or, in the alternative, to remove material they considered unprofessional for a teacher (particularly considering the problem many high schools have with underage drinking).

Again, “asked”. Part of the school’s obligation to Ms. Snyder was to train her in being professional, me thinks. I would have “told” her that what she was doing was going to work against her. I would have “told” her along the lines of “You won’t get a degree and you will have no future in education unless you …”. Also there’s the confused “level of intimacy” thing that is pervading the internet these days, as mentioned in More Thoughts on Blogging. Did Ms. Snyder act inappropriately? As stated previously, “…as the environment she found herself in would dictate…”. It’s for that environment to judge. Do I think Ms. Snyder is a heretic? In that environment, so it seems. I also believe in the adage “Crucify the heretic then accept the heresies.”

She refused on all accounts. Here is a statement from the school district where she taught: http://www.cvsd.k12.pa.us/DS/tempNews/snyderLawsuit05_07.pdf. If the student teaching is part of her degree, and she acted this unprofessionally, then she did not satisfy her degree requirements.

To me (emphasize, “to me”) she did not satisfy her degree requirements is a) she was capable of satisfying them in the first pace and b) assuming “a” that warnings were communicated to her in a way she was capable of internalizing and acting upon.

To me (again, “to me”) “a” and “b” are in question.

As a parent, I know I cannot keep these influences away from my kids, but I’d like to think the schools will keep these influences out of positions of authority.

Good thought. What tests do you suggest schools apply to those they’d place in authority?

The problem here is that the masses have been handed the keys to the fourth estate without so much as enrolling in a driver’s ed class and so accidents are to be expected. In this case, the lesson to be learned is to be aware of your whole audience. Or, if you don’t want to be treated like a drunken pirate, don’t tell people you are a drunken pirate.

LOL. Agreed and nicely put regarding your last statement. What I especially like, though, is embodied in your second statement; once again it comes down to understanding the target and intended audience.
Windkiller

Take note, I am developing a signature based on information I found on the Internet (although Outlook is giving me trouble hyperlinking cleanly to my name or the firm name).

as a further note, when WindKiller and I talked on the phone I made some suggestions for his signature.


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Fred Thompson; Is He Changing His Tune? And How Does He Compare with Governor Mitt Romney? Before and After NextStage Analysis of Campaign Messaging Styles

[[updating lost posts in prep for Reading Virtual Minds Volume 2: Experience and Expectation]]

Frequent reader and correspondent WindKiller posed a question on the Senator Fred Thompson and the Marketing of a Presidential Hopeful: A NextStage Analysis of the Fred Thompson for President Homepage entry and I responded on that post and in a phone conversation that I’d get back to him on how much is encapsulated in NextStage’s Rich Personae (it’s now our PersonaScope and is included with Membership).

I wanted to do that by tying it to a before and after analysis of Senator Fred Thompson’s campaign site. It’s always fascinating to see how somebody changes their messaging after an announcement.

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The casual observer won’t notice much different between the site as it was on 1 Sept 07 (on the right) and how it appeared on both 5 Sept 07 and 6 Sept 07. That’s a good thing because in politics, it’s the positive and familiar that wins votes.

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This is the 5 Sept 07 homepage. There’s the naturally occuring changes in content that you’d expect on any high traffic site. Both the 1 Sept 07 and the 5 Sept 07 homepages are designed for the V8 Rich Personae.

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This is Senator Fred Thompson’s campaign site on 6 Sept 07. The changes are more obvious to the casual observer and again, you’d expect them to be after a major announcement. What is interesting to me is that the site is now using a V7 Rich Personae. This was the personae used by Governor Mitt Romney. It was Senator Thompson’s use of the V8 Rich Personae and its “You’re doing a good job. Let me show you something that might help you out.” versus Governor Romney’s V7 message’s “You’re doing it wrong, do it my way. It’s better.” that I thought would separate Senator Thompson from the pack.

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Before I forget, the other modification to Senator Thompson’s site is a new “prepage” before you get to what most would consider the real homepage. This is something we saw often during the 2004 campaigns. From a consumer perspective it’s not something I would encourage. This page, encountered before all others, essentially asks the visitor to buy the product before learning if the product is a good match for what ails them. The assumption on Senator Thompson’s staff may be that he’s so well known at this point that anybody coming to the site is coming to join. I’m not so sure. This page, by the way, is designed for a K7 Rich Personae, ie, it has a good, strong, emotional appeal. Just what you’d want if you thought people already knew about you and you wanted them to act in your behalf.

This gets us to what else is encapsulated in NextStage’s Rich Personae. NextStage’s Rich Personae also reveal most prominent messages, strongest messages, messages in the order they appear to the non-conscious mind, … It’s pretty…um…rich.

Also, as you begin to get deeper and deeper into the Rich Personae system, you’ll learn that the strongest message on, for example, a young female V7 is different from a mature, male V7.

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Here, Senator Thompson’s strongest message is “Compare me to others and you will see that I can put us on a path and bring structure to this country. You can count on it.” Governor Mitt Romney’s strongest message is very similar with two significant edits; “[no comparison desired or implied] You will see that I can put us on a path and bring structure to this place. Are you with me, yes or no?” Perhaps Senator Thompson sees Governor Romney as having the audience he wants, hence the deep messaging is the same. The substantive difference between the two sites is that Governor Romney, if he were talking to you, would be saying his message twice as loud as Senator Thompson.

Back in the day when Senator Thompson’s site was designed for a V8 Rich Personae, its message was similar except for the missing introductory call to comparison;”[no comparison desired or implied] You will see that I can put us on a path and bring structure to this place. You can count on it.

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Reading Virtual Minds Volume I: Science and History, 4th edition

It’s with great pleasure and a little pride that we announce Reading Virtual Minds Volume I: Science and History, 4th EDITION.

Reading Virtual Minds V1: Science and History, 4th edThat “4th EDITION” part is important. We know lots of people are waiting for Reading Virtual Minds Volume II: Experience and Expectation and it’s next in the queue.

But until then…

Reading Virtual Minds Volume I: Science and History, 4th EDITION is about 100 pages longer than the previous editions and about 10$US cheaper. Why? Because Reading Virtual Minds Volume II: Experience and Expectation is next in the queue.

Some Notes About This Book

I’m actually writing Reading Virtual Minds Volume II: Experience and Expectation right now. In the process of doing that, we realized we needed to add an index to this book. We also wanted to make a full color ebook version available to NextStage Members (it’s a download on the Member welcome page. And if you’re not already a member, what are you waiting for?)

In the process of making a full color version, we realized we’d misplaced some of the original slides and, of course, the charting software had changed since we originally published this volume (same information, different charting system). Also Susan and Jennifer “The Editress” Day wanted the images standardized as much as possible.

We included an Appendix B – Proofs (starting on page 187) for the curious and updated Appendix C – Further Readings (starting on page 236). We migrated a blog used for reference purposes so there may be more or less reference sources and modified some sections with more recent information.

So this edition has a few more pages and a few different pages. It may have an extra quote or two floating around.

You also need to know that Reading Virtual Minds Volume I: Science and History is a “Let’s explore the possibilities” book, not a “How to do it” book. As such, it deals with how NextStage did it (not to mention things that happened along the way). It does not explain how you can do it. This book’s purpose is to open a new territory to you and give you some basic tools for exploration.

There are no magic bullets, quick fixes, simple demonstrations, et cetera, that will turn you into jedis, gurus, kings, queens, samurai, rock stars, mavens, heroes, thought leaders, so on and so forth.

How to Do It starts with Volume II: Experience and Expectation and continues through future volumes in this series. We’ve included a Volume II: Experience and Expectation preview with a How to Do It example on page 302 so you can take a peek if that’s your interest.

That noted, I’m quite sure that you won’t get the full benefit of future volumes without reading this one because unless you’ve read this one you won’t understand the territory you’re exploring in those future volumes.

Reading Virtual Minds V1: Science and History, 4th edThat’s Reading Virtual Minds Volume I: Science and History, 4th EDITION. It’s so good and so good for you! Buy a copy or two today!


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NextStage gets a nod from Dell’s Annette Priest at eMetrics DC Summit

[Note: this post is from Oct ’07. We’re backfilling again for Joseph’s references in Reading Virtual Minds Volume II: Experience and Expectation]

It’s so nice when one’s work get’s noticed, in this case by Dell’s Usability Research Manager, Annette Priest. First and so there’s no confusion, Dell is neither a NextStage nor my personal client. Ms. Priest’s nod was a recognition that more and more companies need to start utilizing the kind of research that NextStage is known for – understanding the hearts and minds of consumers through a variety of disciplines.

My thanks to Ms. Priest for the kind words and to Jim Sterne for putting the venue together.


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The Complete “Slew of emails about my political postings” Arc

[[Note this is another blog arc, five posts long, all here for your reading pleasure. Thank The Mice who save you from going click-happy.]]

Slew of emails about my political postings (#1)

Several regular readers emailed me with their thoughts on my political postings. I’m going to share some of them over the next few weeks, starting with this one and offered without comment.

It’s the cover of The Economist from November 6th-12th, 2004:

Cover of 'The Economist', November 6th-12th, 2004

Slew of emails about my political postings (#2)

Obama/Biden vs McCain/Palin, what if things were switched around?…..think about it. Would the country’s collective point of view be different? Could racism be the culprit?

Ponder the following:

What if the Obamas had paraded five children across the stage, including a three month old infant and an unwed, pregnant teenage daughter?

What if John McCain was a former president of the Harvard Law Review?

What if Barack Obama finished fifth from the bottom of his graduating class?

What if McCain had only married once, and Obama was a divorcee?

What if Obama was the candidate who left his first wife after a severe disfiguring car accident, when she no longer measured up to his standards?

What if Obama had met his second wife in a bar and had a long affair while he was still married?

What if Michelle Obama was the wife who not only became addicted to pain killers but also acquired them illegally through her charitable organization?

What if Cindy McCain graduated from Harvard?

What if Obama had been a member of the Keating Five? (The Keating Five were five United States Senators accused of corruption in 1989, igniting a major political scandal as part of the larger Savings and Loan crisis of the late 1980s and early 1990s.)

What if McCain was a charismatic, eloquent speaker?

What if Obama couldn’t read from a teleprompter?

What if Obama was the one who had military experience that included discipline problems and a record of crashing seven planes?

What if Obama was the one who was known to display publicly, on many occasions, a serious anger management problem?

What if Michelle Obama’s family had made their money from beer distribution?

What if the Obamas had adopted a white child?

You could easily add to this list. If these questions reflected reality, do you really believe the election numbers would be as close as they are?

This is what racism does. It covers up, rationalizes and minimizes positive qualities in one candidate and emphasizes negative qualities in another when there is a color difference.

Educational Background:

Barack Obama:

Columbia University – B.A. Political Science with a Specialization in

International Relations.

Harvard – Juris Doctor (J.D.) Magna Cum Laude

Joseph Biden:

University of Delaware – B.A. in History and B.A. in Political Science.

Syracuse University College of Law – Juris Doctor (J.D.)

vs.

John McCain:

United States Naval Academy – Class rank: 894 of 899

Sarah Palin:

Hawaii Pacific University – 1 semester

North Idaho College – 2 semesters – general study

University of Idaho – 2 semesters – journalism

Matanuska-Susitna College – 1 semester

University of Idaho – 3 semesters – B.A. in Journalism

Education isn’t everything, but this is about the two highest offices in the land as well as our standing in the world. You make the call.

Slew of emails about my political postings (#3)

The following was sent to me with the heading “Oldie, but particularly germane today, what with this whole ‘…spread the wealth around’ idiocy”. My response (letting you know ahead of time) was


Interesting read and completely erroneous. Many extra points to anyone who can pick out the flaws (I hope they’re obvious!) in this piece.

Also, please never send anything like this to someone in the field (http://davidk.myweb.uga.edu/).


Enjoy!

Something they don’t teach at Business School (or in Washington ).

Our Tax System Explained: Bar Stool Economics

Suppose that every day, ten men go out for beer and the bill for all ten comes to $100. If they paid their bill the way we pay our taxes, it would go something like this:

The first four men (the poorest) would pay nothing.
The fifth would pay $1.
The sixth would pay $3.
The seventh would pay $7.
The eighth would pay $12.
The ninth would pay $18.
The tenth man (the richest) would pay $59.

So, that’s what they decided to do.

The ten men drank in the bar every day and seemed quite happy with the arrangement, until one day, the owner threw them a curve. ‘Since you are all such good customers,’ he said, ‘I’m going to reduce the cost of your daily beer by $20.’ Drinks for the ten now cost just $80.

The group still wanted to pay their bill the way we pay our taxes so the first four men were unaffected. They would still drink for free.

But what about the other six men – the paying customers? How could they divide the $20 windfall so that everyone would get his ‘fair share?’

They realized that $20 divided by six is $3.33. But if they subtracted that from everybody’s share, then the fifth man and the sixth man would each end up being paid to drink his beer. So, the bar owner suggested that it would be fair to reduce each man’s bill by roughly the same amount, and he proceeded to work out the amounts each should pay.

And so:

The fifth man, like the first four, now paid nothing (100% savings).
The sixth now paid $2 instead of $3 (33%savings).
The seventh now pay $5 instead of $7 (28%savings).
The eighth now paid $9 instead of $12 (25% savings).
The ninth now paid $14 instead of $18 (22% savings).
The tenth now paid $49 instead of $59 (16% savings).

Each of the six was better off than before. And the first four continued to drink for free. But once outside the restaurant, the men began to compare their savings.

‘I only got a dollar out of the $20,’declared the sixth man. He pointed to the tenth man, ‘but he got $10!’

‘Yeah, that’s right,’ exclaimed the fifth man. ‘I only saved a dollar, too. It’s unfair that he got ten times more than I got’

‘That’s true!!’ shouted the seventh man. ‘Why should he get $10 back when I got only two? The wealthy get all the breaks!’

‘Wait a minute,’ yelled the first four men in unison. ‘We didn’t get anything at all. The system exploits the poor!’

The nine men surrounded the tenth and beat him up.

The next night the tenth man didn’t show up for drinks so the nine sat down and had beers without him. But when it came time to pay the bill, they discovered something important. They didn’t have enough money between all of them for even half of the bill!

And that, ladies and gentlemen, journalists and college professors, is how our tax system works. The people who pay the highest taxes get the most benefit from a tax reduction. Tax them too much, attack them for being wealthy, and they just may not show up anymore. In fact, they might start drinking overseas where the atmosphere is somewhat friendlier.

David R. Kamerschen, Ph.D.
Professor of Economics
University of Georgia

For those who understand, no explanation is needed. For those who do not understand, no explanation is possible.


Remember folks, extra bonus points for people pointing out the flaws in this one.

Slew of emails about my political postings (#4)

Let me say before I go further that I’m not suggesting people vote one way or another. I am fascinated by what people are sending me, though, as it’s an indication of how people are thinking. The more that is sent to me that does lean one way or another, the number of people sending material, etc., does reveal a great deal about what and how people are thinking.

That’s what I’m sharing here; other people’s thoughts, not my own.

Let’s start with some of the artwork I received…

This one was entitled “Next Season on Dancing with the Stars!”

Also, I was offered the following note and interesting read:


Heard this mentioned on R. Limbaugh. Don’t think Rush knew who he was. I did.
BTW, OSC says he’s a Democrat. Nice compact piece, I thought.http://www.ldsmag.com/ideas/081017light.html


[[There were a bunch of images in the original post, alas, now lost to antiquity…unless you have them and can email them to us.]]

Slew of emails about my political postings (#5)

One reader sent me Balls and Urns, which I thought a worthy read on many levels.

T’was the day before elections (Slew of emails #6, Adam Zand’s Big Shoe, Population Dynamics, …)

Lots to cover today, starting with

<PLUG>
Adam Zand’s Really Big Shoe (Join in)
Host: Adam Zand – ThisDudeAbides (dot) Zand (at) gmail.com

Episode: EPISODE23 – Adam Zand’s Really Big Shoe

The world will fundamentally change on Election Day – The Big Shoe talks to Joseph Carrabis for a preview and a review of political social media efforts and effects. Carrabis is Chairman and Chief Research Officer of NextStage Evolution, LLC, NextStage Global LTD, and a founder of KnowledgeNH, NH Business Development Network and the Center for Semantic Excellence. He’s a Senior Research Fellow and Advisory Board Member to the Society for New Communications Research and frequent contributor to www.SoMeElection08.ning.com. You’ve heard the pundits and the pollsters but what does Joseph’s online predictive crystal ball tell about how close the election is (http://tinyurl.com/63hec9); how messages are being received and re-interpreted and if O.J. Simpson is really a factor – http://tinyurl.com/669kc8. We’ll catch up on Joseph’s consulting business (http://www.nextstagevolution.com) and share best practices for marketers in the fields of predictive intelligence, persuasion engineering and interactive analytics. On the day before the election, Joseph Carrabis and The Really Big Shoe will reveal what’s behind the voting booth curtain.

Call ID: 18410

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Does your chosen candidate motivate you to vote? Then Be Careful…

Next a note from NextStage’s and others’ research: It seems that people who are best able to motivate others are also most likely to mislead them. NextStage did some research regarding how to motivate people to act favorably (for lack of a better term, “convert”) online and made an unexpected discovery. We then went looking through the literature to learn if others had discovered anything similar. Sure enough, two Colgate University researchers had learned much the same thing (Dominance and Deception in Children and Adults: Are Leaders the Best Misleaders?).

An Email Response to my Comment Exchange with Tex

Frequent reader Tex and I exchanged comments on Slew of emails about my political postings (#4), the gist of which was that I hadn’t received any emails that I could decidedly say were “con-Obama, pro-McCain”.

Someone was reading (and thank you for doing so) and sent me the following:


Subject: obama stealing the election
To: friends (at) foxnews (dot) com
Date: Sunday, November 2, 2008, 7:35 AM
Hi guys’s
I watch you every day. This morning while watching I decided to try to donate to Obama using my real credit card with a fictious name and address and it sailed thru, try it it is true this is how he is raising all his money


I have no idea if one can actually provide false information so on and so forth.

Finally, voting by population percentages…

I wrote in Governor Palin’s (and everybody else’s) Popularity that the Democratic ticket was doing a better job at getting its message across in a way that the largest population could respond to easily and rapidly.

While I’ll stand behind my statement I do need to qualify/quantify it a bit.

[[Alas, another image lost to antiquity]]

A party’s ability to capture a given age demographic is important, yes, and the population of that demographic, the likelihood of individuals within that age demographic to vote, …, all play a role. The chart here takes into account the populations (not how many individuals within each population will vote, only the populations within those demographics) and indicates that Senator Obama will win the election by just over 2.5% of the population.

Clarifying

The guestimates above are based on 2007 population projections that are, in turn, based on the 2000 national census. I don’t know how the population is divided (no pun intended).

I had thought I’d have time to do a state by state breakdown today and no, I don’t. Sorry, folks.

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